Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000219 0.000245 0.000273 0.000305 0.000341 0.000380 0.000425
2025-01-19 0.000185 0.000221 0.000262 0.000311 0.000371 0.000439 0.000524
2025-01-26 0.000157 0.000198 0.000247 0.000310 0.000390 0.000487 0.000615
2025-02-02 0.000142 0.000188 0.000246 0.000325 0.000429 0.000562 0.000746
2025-02-09 0.000127 0.000176 0.000240 0.000331 0.000456 0.000624 0.000865
2025-02-16 0.000114 0.000165 0.000233 0.000334 0.000480 0.000683 0.000987
2025-02-23 0.000103 0.000153 0.000225 0.000334 0.000497 0.000733 0.001100
2025-03-02 0.000091 0.000141 0.000213 0.000328 0.000506 0.000770 0.001197
2025-03-09 0.000083 0.000132 0.000206 0.000327 0.000519 0.000816 0.001310
2025-03-16 0.000076 0.000124 0.000200 0.000327 0.000535 0.000866 0.001433
2025-03-23 0.000070 0.000118 0.000195 0.000328 0.000553 0.000919 0.001567
2025-03-30 0.000065 0.000112 0.000189 0.000327 0.000565 0.000965 0.001690
2025-04-06 0.000060 0.000106 0.000184 0.000327 0.000583 0.001022 0.001843
2025-04-13 0.000055 0.000101 0.000181 0.000330 0.000603 0.001088 0.002017
2025-04-20 0.000051 0.000095 0.000174 0.000326 0.000612 0.001132 0.002159
2025-04-27 0.000049 0.000094 0.000177 0.000340 0.000656 0.001244 0.002437
2025-05-04 0.000046 0.000091 0.000175 0.000345 0.000682 0.001326 0.002665
2025-05-11 0.000044 0.000088 0.000173 0.000349 0.000706 0.001406 0.002896
2025-05-18 0.000041 0.000084 0.000169 0.000348 0.000721 0.001468 0.003098
2025-05-25 0.000037 0.000079 0.000162 0.000342 0.000724 0.001508 0.003258
2025-06-01 0.000035 0.000075 0.000158 0.000340 0.000736 0.001566 0.003461
2025-06-08 0.000033 0.000072 0.000155 0.000340 0.000753 0.001635 0.003694
2025-06-15 0.000031 0.000070 0.000152 0.000342 0.000772 0.001711 0.003950